黃海之禍更在朝鮮
黃海之禍,根在朝鮮
美韓即將在黃海演戲。以天安艦事件為理由,將軍力擴大到黃海,直接威脅中國。這正是朝鮮最樂於見到的效果。目前局勢來看,美韓與朝鮮的矛盾,已經轉移到了中國與美韓之間的矛盾。朝鮮在國際上的軍事威脅得到了很大緩和。朝鮮成為最大贏家,金家保住了毒菜政權。從目前美韓的行動和國際社會回應來看,天安艦事件由朝鮮一手製造,已經毫無疑問了。利用矛盾分析法很容易就能看出朝鮮的意圖。天安艦事件是朝鮮蓄意挑起中國與美韓對抗而製造的。當然,金正日利用這次事件成功轉移了兩對矛盾,維護了金氏家族在朝鮮毒菜統治。到底轉移了兩對矛盾。分析如下︰
1。轉移國內矛盾。朝鮮民眾長期處於貧窮的境地。而金家在朝鮮卻過著奢侈的生活。朝鮮國內長期存在著社會大眾與毒菜政權的矛盾。貨幣改革失敗,民憤四起,使得這一矛盾進一步加劇,嚴重削弱了金家在朝鮮統治的合法性。金家知道製造天安艦事件,國際社會一定會制裁朝鮮。金家可以借此煽動民眾的民族主義情緒,引導民眾一致對外。將朝鮮民眾與毒菜政權之間的矛盾轉化為朝鮮民族與國際社會的矛盾。此時,前者由主要矛盾變成了次要矛盾。轉移了民眾對獨裁政權的仇視與憎恨,成功緩和民眾對其統治的矛盾。
2。將美韓對朝矛盾轉化為美韓對華矛盾。美韓一直想在中國周邊擴大軍力。朝鮮就是利用這點,成功將威脅轉移到中國身上。於是就故意為美韓製造機會,尋找藉口,製造天安艦事件。天安艦事件發生後,美韓黃海軍演就是一個例證。自從朝鮮核爆一來,朝鮮半島的矛盾是美韓與朝鮮的矛盾。如今美韓黃海軍演直接威脅中國,這對矛盾又由主要矛盾變成了次要矛盾。將美韓對朝矛盾轉移到中國身上。這樣朝鮮遭受的軍事威脅得到緩和。中國面臨的威脅劇增。
Tags: 黃海,朝鮮
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